WANmahani - Keuntungan telah menurun bagi syarikat-syarikat tenaga Jerman Angela Merkel sejak memutuskan untuk menggoncang industri tenaga dengan mengurangkan tenaga nuklear memihak kepada tenaga boleh diperbaharui. Kesan ke atas sektor tenaga adalah teruk, dan boleh mempunyai kesan domino di seluruh Eropah.
Henri Prolio, Ketua Eksekutif milik EDF Perancis, telah secara terbuka mengkritik dua pembekal tenaga terbesar Jerman, RWE dan E.ON.
"Apabila ia datang kepada tenaga mereka berada dalam bencana. 2 syarikat utama mereka - E.ON dan RWE - berada di bawah tekanan yang besar. Satu adalah lebih kurang mati, yang lain adalah dalam keadaan yang sangat sukar, "Henri Prolio mendakwa, sambil menambah bahawa syarikatnya telah melakukan" dengan baik."
"Mati" komen merujuk kepada syarikat utiliti yang ke-2 terbesar Jerman RWE, yang mencatatkan penurunan 62 % peratus dalam keuntungan adalah dalam proses menutup stesen kuasa untuk menjimatkan wang.
Yang berpangkalan di Dusseldorf RWE tlh berjuang utk meningkatkan kewangan. April lepas syarikat melaporkan kerugian bersih pertama sejak 1949 Selain itu, hutang syarikat telah meningkat kepada € 30 bilion.
E.ON, pemimpin tenaga Jerman, iaitu "dalam keadaan yang sangat sukar" menurut Henri, mengumumkan penurunan sebanyak 20 % peratus dalam keuntungan bagi suku yang ke-2.
2 syarikat kuasa Jerman telah merosot tajam sejak larangan tenaga nuklear. Dalam bangun dari Fukushima, Angela Merkel berkata Jerman akan menghentikan tenaga nuklear menjelang 2022 dan subsidi tenaga boleh diperbaharui.
Dalam 27 tahun akan datang, Jerman akan menghabiskan €550 billion teknologi boleh diperbaharui seperti angin dan solar, dengan harapan mencapai 80 % peratus tenaga boleh diperbaharui oleh 2050 Ini menjadikan teknologi seperti angin dan solar lebih mahal.
Berlin mempunyai seminggu terutamanya seksa yang besar dari segi data ekonomi yang sukar, tanpa berita positif. Berlainan KDNK negara telah diturunkan oleh ahli ekonomi, eksport menjunam rendah krisis pra-krisis kewangan ke atas Ukraine, dan petunjuk ekonomi yang lain seperti keyakinan perniagaan ‘business confidence’ & industry yang mabuk.
GERMANY’s Energy Industry a ‘DISASTER’ - France’s
EDF CHIRF . . .
Profits have declined for German energy companies since Angela Merkel decided to shake up the power industry by cutting nuclear energy in favor of renewables. The impact on the energy sector is severe, and may be having a domino effect across Europe.
Henri Prolio, the Chief Executive of France’s state-owned EDF, has openly criticized Germany’s two biggest energy suppliers, RWE and E.ON.
“When it comes to energy they are in a disaster. Their two major companies – E.ON and RWE – are under huge pressure. One is more or less dead, the other one is in a very difficult situation," Henri Prolio claimed, adding that his company was doing “quite well.”
The “dead” comment refers to Germany’s second biggest utility company RWE, which posted a 62 percent drop in profit is in the process of shutting down power stations to save money.
Dusseldorf-based RWE has been struggling to improve financially. Last April the company reported its first net loss since 1949. On top of that, company debt has risen to €30 billion.
E.ON, Germany’s energy leader, which is “in a very difficult situation” according to Henri, announced a drop of 20 percent in profits for the second quarter.
Germany’s top two power companies have been in sharp decline since a ban on nuclear energy. In the wake of Fukushima, Angela Merkel said Germany would phase out nuclear power by 2022 and subsidize renewable energy.
In the next 27 years, Germany will spend €550 billion on renewable technologies like wind and solar, in the hope of attaining 80 percent renewable energy by 2050. This makes technologies like wind and solar more expensive.
Berlin has had a particularly awful week in terms of hard economic data, with no positive news. The country’s GDP outlook has been lowered by economists, exports dived to pre-financial crisis lows over the Ukraine crisis, and other economic indicators such as business confidence and industry tanked.
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KEYAKINAN perniagaan JERMAN berkecai,
PALING Rendah dalam 13 BULAN . . .
AFP Photo/Daniel Roland
Keyakinan perniagaan di Jerman, yang telah membawa kebangkitan ekonomi EU sejak tahun lepas, merosot untuk bulan yang ke-4 pada bulan Ogos, yang prospek dahan lagi pemulihan yang lebih luas di seluruh EU.
Indeks Jerman Ifo Perniagaan Iklim dlm pembuatan, yg kelihatan pd keyakinan 7,000 firma di negara ini, turun kepada 106.3 pada Ogos daripada 108 pada bulan Julai.
Ia angka terendah sejak Julai lalu, menandakan penurunan terpanjang berturut-turut bulanan sejak 2012, kata laporan itu.
Angka Isnin datang selepas data ekonomi yang mengecewakan bagi suku yang ke-2. Ia menunjukkan ekonomi terbesar di Eropah menguncup 0.2 % peratus dlm tempoh itu, selepas ia berkembang 0.7 % peratus pada suku pertama.
Banyak penurunan yang tidak dijangka adalah disebabkan ‘attributed’ oleh kesan krisis di Ukraine yang membawa kepada yang sukar 'sekatan perang.' Walaupun selepas suku yang ke-2 yang mengecewakan, Jerman percaya ia akan mencapai pertumbuhan 1.8 % peratus tahun ini. Sebaliknya, di UK, yang bukan sebahagian daripada zon mata wang euro, menunjukkan pertumbuhan ekonomi suku paling kukuh dalam 6 tahun, dengan 0.8 % peratus ‘0.8 percent’ pada suku yang ke-2.
Pada bulan Julai perniagaan Jerman mula menghantar tanda-tanda yang jelas mereka sedang menderita ‘suffering’ dari kebuntuan politik dengan Rusia - salah satu daripada rakan kongsi ekonomi utamanya.
Canselor Jerman Angela Merkel telah mengesahkan bahawa pertumbuhan ekonomi negara telah dilanda krisis di Ukraine.
"Terdapat, bagaimanapun, beberapa ketidakpastian - Saya tidak mahu menyem-bunyikan itu - seluruh Ukraine-Rusia keadaan menunjukkan bahawa kita sudah tentu mempunyai kepentingan besar dalam hubungan antarabangsa yang lagi membina," Merkel dipetik oleh Reuters.
Tetapi Canselor menegaskan bahawa dia masih fikir kadar pertumbuhan tahunan ekonomi secara keseluruhan akan menjadi "baik, jika apa2 dramatik yang berlaku."
Jerman peruncit sukan Adidas berkata ia akan mempercepatkan usaha untuk menutup kedai-kedai dalam pasaran Rusia dan CIS pada tahun 2014 dan 2015 pembuat kereta Volkswagen, yang juga pengeluar terbesar di Eropah, berkata ia dijual 8 % peratus kurang kenderaan di Rusia pd 2 suku pertama berbanding lepas tahun.
Rusia adalah rakan perdagangan Eropah ketiga terbesar, pada tahun 2013 perdagangan antara Jerman dan Rusia adalah €76.5 billion.
Eksport Jerman ke Rusia mungkin turun sebanyak 25 % peratus tahun ini, kesatuan persatuan terkemuka yang mewakili perniagaan Jerman berkata dalam satu kenyataan.
"Ada kemungkinan bahawa pd akhir tahun ini eksport kita ke Rusia akan merosot sebanyak 20-25 % peratus. Ia akan memberi kesan kepada kira-kira 50,000 tempat kerja di Jerman," Eckhard Cordes, pengerusi Jawatankuasa Jerman di Timur Per-hubungan Ekonomi Eropah, tertekan.
GERMAN Business Confidence Shattered,
lowest in 13 MONTHS . . .
Business confidence in Germany, which has led the EU economic revival over the last year, declined for a fourth month in August, which further clouded prospects of a broader recovery across the EU.
Germany’s Ifo Business Climate Index in manufacturing, which looks at the confidence of the country’s 7,000 firms, fell to 106.3 in August from 108 in July.
It’s the lowest figure since last July, marking the longest successive monthly decline since 2012, the report said.
Monday’s figures come after frustrating economic data for the second quarter. It showed Europe’s biggest economy contracted 0.2 percent during the period, after it grew 0.7 percent in the first quarter.
Much of the unexpected drop is attributed to the effects of the crisis in Ukraine that has led to a tough 'sanctions war.' Even after the disappointing second quarter, Germany believes it will achieve 1.8 percent growth this year. By contrast, the UK, which is not part of the euro currency zone, showed its strongest quarterly economic growth in 6 years, with 0.8 percent in the second quarter.
In July German businesses began to send clear signs they are suffering from the political standoff with Russia – one of its key economic partners.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel has confirmed that the growth of the country’s economy has been hit by the crisis in Ukraine.
"There are, however, some uncertainties - I don't want to conceal that - the whole Ukraine-Russia situation shows that we of course have a big interest in our international relations being constructive again," Merkel is cited by Reuters.
But the Chancellors stressed that she still thought the overall annual growth rate of the economy would be “good, if nothing dramatic happens."
German sports retailer Adidas said it would speed up efforts to close stores in the Russian and CIS markets in 2014 and 2015. Carmaker Volkswagen, that’s also Europe’s biggest manufacturer, said it sold eight percent fewer vehicles in Russia in the first two quarters compared to last year.
Russia is Europe’s third-largest trading partner, in 2013 trade between Germany and Russia was €76.5 billion.
Germany’s exports to Russia may go down by 25 per cent this year, the union of leading associations representing German businesses said in a statement.
"It is possible that by the end of the year our exports to Russia will decline by 20-25 per cent. It will affect some 50,000 workplaces in Germany,” Eckhard Cordes, the chairman of Germany’s Committee on Eastern European Economic Relations, stressed.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel (AFP Photo/Odd Andersen)
Sebab utama pertumbuhan KDNK poor (miskin) zon Euro adalah sanksi yg dike-nakan oleh Kesatuan Eropah terhadap Rusia, Michael Mross, ketua editor laman web MMNews.de, memberitahu RT.
"Apabila anda mengambil, sebagai contoh, syarikat-syarikat besar Jerman - hampir setiap syarikat Jerman besar telah hubungan perniagaan rapat dengan Rusia . . . Semua orang mengalami lebih kurang. Pada akhir hari, ini bukan sahaja kesan psikologi, tetapi kesan perniagaan, "katanya.
Rusia adalah pasaran yang besar untuk bukan sahaja Jerman, tetapi untuk semua pasaran Eropah, itulah sebabnya ia adalah penting untuk mengekalkan hubungan yang berfungsi.
"Kami mempunyai masalah yang cukup di sini di zon Euro. Dan ini adalah sesuatu yang kita tidak perlukan. Dan jika anda bercakap dengan pemimpin perniagaan secara tertutup - mereka semua terhadap sekatan ini, "tambah Mross.
'Menarik disetiapnya merosakkan' dasar penjimatan
Ramai yang telah menyuarakan kebimbangan push Jerman ke arah penjimatan ekonomi, usaha-Spartan perbelanjaan untuk mengimbangi semula zon euro. Pada musim bunga, banyak yang dipanggil 'Euro-skeptis' menang ‘won’ dalam pilihan raya Parlimen Eropah.
Pada hari Isnin, kerajaan Perancis meletak jawatan ‘resigned’ hanya 4 bulan selepas ia ditubuhkan selepas Mei elections.Mereka berhenti selepas diserang menteri rancangan Presiden Francois Hollande kerana cukai dan luka, dan lebih percanggahan pendapat utama dengan program penjimatan Jerman.
Perancis, yang selama berdiri dengan Jerman dari segi politik, memutuskan ‘decided’ untuk meletakkan satu pengakhiran kepada dasar-dasar penjimatan tidak popular kembali pada bulan Mei.
Bukan sahaja ahli-ahli politik meragui arah yang lebih kesatuan mata wang 18-negara. Eropah masih berjabat pd kemelesetan 7 tahun, yang telah membawa kepada pertumbuhan ekonomi terhenti dan pengangguran ke paras tertinggi. Pemulihan telah digambarkan ‘described’ oleh Hadiah Nobel yang memenangi ekonomi kerana kedua-dua "menarik disetiap yang merosakkan" dan "kegagalan yang muram".
The main reason for the Eurozone’s poor GDP growth are the sanction imposed by the EU against Russia, Michael Mross, chief editor of MMNews.de website, told RT.
“When you take, for example, the big German companies – almost every big German company has close business ties with Russia . . . Everybody is suffering more or less. In the end of the day, this has not only psychological effect, but a business effect,” he said.
Russia is a large market for not only Germany, but for all European markets, which is why it is important to keep relations functional.
“We have a enough problems here in the Eurozone. And this is something we don’t need. And if you speak to business leaders behind closed doors – they’re all against these sanctions,” Mross added.
‘Stunningly destructive’ austerity policies
Many have voiced concerns over Germany’s push towards economic austerity, a Spartan-spending effort to re-balance the eurozone. In the spring, many of the so-called ‘Euro-skeptics’ won in the European parliamentary elections.
On Monday, the French government resigned just four months after it was formed after the May elections.They quit after ministers attacked President Francois Hollande's plans for taxation and cuts, and over a major disagreement with Germany’s austerity program.
France, which as long stood with Germany politically, decided to put an end to unpopular austerity policies back in May.
Not only politicians doubt the direction over the 18-nation currency union. Europe is still shaking off its seven year recession, which has brought economic growth to a standstill and unemployment to record levels. Recovery has been described by Nobel Prize winning economists as both “stunningly destructive” and a “dismal failure.”
READ MORE: http://on.rt.com/tbe86c
RUMAHKuasa JERMAN mendapatPENJIMATAN
Sudu SENDIRI . . .
.
Industri Jerman berasa tekanan yg paling sejak kemuncak krisis kewangan global pada tahun 2009, meletakkan Berlin dlm kedudukan yg sukar kerana ia mengajar langkah penjimatan yg sukar utk jiran-jirannya. Sekatan Rusia hanya memburuk-kan lagi kesengsaraan ekonomi.
Pesanan industri jatuh 5.7 % peratus pada bulan Ogos dari Julai, yang paling pesat sejak Januari 2009 apabila mereka jatuh 7.7 % peratus, Kementerian Ekonomi Jerman di Berlin, Isnin. Penurunan itu jauh lebih tinggi daripada ekonomi di Bloomberg (1.5 % peratus) dan Reuters (2.5 % peratus) ramalan.
Pesanan kilang Jerman, diselaraskan bagi perubahan bermusim adalah 4 % peratus kurang pada bulan Ogos berbanding Julai, penurunan terbesar sejak 2009.
POWERhouse GERMANY gets Own Spoonful
Of AUSTERITY . . .
German industry is feeling the most pressure since the peak of the global financial crisis in 2009, putting Berlin in a difficult position as it preaches tough austerity to its neighbors. Russian sanctions are only exacerbating the economic misery.
Industry orders tumbled 5.7 percent in August from July, the fastest since January 2009 when they dropped 7.7 percent, the Germany Economy Ministry in Berlin said Monday. The drop was much higher than economists at Bloomberg (1.5 percent) and Reuters (2.5 percent) forecast.
Germany factory orders, adjusted for seasonal swings, were 4 percent less in August than in July, the biggest drop since 2009.
Pesanan asing jatuh 8.4 % peratus, perintah pelaburan dan barang-barang yang jatuh 8.5 % peratus &, dan barang-barang asas jatuh 3 % peratus dan perintah domestik 2 % peratus.
Foreign orders dropped 8.4 percent, investment and goods orders tumbled 8.5 percent, and basic goods fell 3 percent and domestic orders 2 percent.
Percubaan Jerman untuk membangkitkan ekonomi EU selepas krisis kewangan 2008 telah ditandai dengan pemotongan dan cukai. Pelan penjimatan terbukti tidak popular teruk di zon euro, masih bergelut dengan kelemahan ekonomi.
Jerman menyediakan sebahagian besar daripada kewangan, hampir 48 % peratus atau €210 billion pembiayaan Eropah. Walau bagaimanapun, Bank Pusat Eropah (ECB) mahu ia meningkatkan perbelanjaan bagi merangsang pelaburan, dan IMF bersetuju ‘agrees’ ia adalah ukuran yang diperlukan untuk memulihkan zon euro. Setakat ini, Jerman telah menentang perbelanjaan rangsangan, dan walaupun ia dipanggil ‘called’ haram.
Germany’s attempts to resurrect the EU’s economy after the 2008 financial crisis have been marked by cutbacks and taxation. The austerity plan has proven to be severely unpopular in the eurozone, still struggling with economic weakness.
Germany provides the bulk of the finance, nearly 48 percent or €210 billion of European financing. However, the European Central Bank (ECB) wants it to boost spending to spur investment, and the IMF agrees it is a measure needed to revive the eurozone. So far, Germany has resisted stimulus spending, and has even called it illegal.
Pada mesyuarat ECB lepas, kepala Mario Draghi mengakui bahwa 18 anggota yg menggunakan euro itu "kehilangan momentum (losing momentum)" berlepas tajam dari penyata Mac lepas bahawa euro adalah "sebuah pulau kestabilan (an island of stability)"
Faktor Rusia
Standoff dengan Rusia ke atas Ukraine boleh menjadi faktor besar dalam kejatuhan, kerana Rusia adalah pasaran eksport terbesar di Jerman. Kesatuan Jerman mera-malkan bahawa eksport ke Rusia dapat turun sebanyak 25 % peratus tahun ini.
"Ia amat jelas bahawa Eropah tidak mempunyai apa yang diperlukan untuk berdiri dengan sendiri. Ini adalah pada satu masa apabila ekonomi Eropah dan sebahagian besar ekonomi global trend ke bawah yang teruk," Gerald Celente, penerbit Trend Journal, memberitahu RT.
ZON Gergasi EURO menuju kemelesetan?
€9.5 trillion ekonomi Eropah masih belum ditarik sendiri utk pemulihan ekonomi, tetapi Jerman telah lama dipuji sebagai kuasa besar itu. Walau bagaimanapun, penunjuk ekonomi baru-baru ini memberitahu cerita lain.
Ekonomi Jerman menyusut sebanyak 0.2 % peratus pada suku kedua 2014 selepas ia menunjukkan pertumbuhan 0.7 % peratus dalam tempoh 3 bulan pertama tahun ini.
Pada $ 1.5 trilion, Jerman menyumbang hampir 30 % peratus daripada keluaran dalam negara kasar keseluruhan zon euro 18 anggota itu.
Keyakinan pengguna juga merosot ‘decline’ seperti pengangguran terus mendaki untuk bulan kedua berturut-turut.
Kemudian pd hari Selasa, Tabung Kewangan Antarabangsa dijangka mengurang-kan unjuran pertumbuhan Jerman 2014 kepada 1.5 % peratus, turun daripada anggaran sebelumnya sebanyak 1.9 % peratus. Pertumbuhan pd tahun 2015 boleh dikurangkan kepada 1.7 % peratus, menurut majalah Der Spiegel.
At the last ECB meeting, head Mario Draghi admitted that the 18 members who use the euro was “losing momentum” a sharp departure from last March's statement that the euro was “an island of stability”
The Russia factor
The standoff with Russia over Ukraine may be a big factor in the downfall, since Russia is Germany’s largest export market. German unions have predicted that exports to Russia could drop by as much as 25 percent this year.
"It’s very clear that Europe doesn’t have what it takes to stand on its own. This is at a time when the European economy and much of the global economy is on a severe down trend,” Gerald Celente, publisher of Trends Journal, told RT.
Eurozone’s giant headed for recession?
Europe’s €9.5 trillion economy still hasn’t clawed itself to economic recovery, but Germany has long been praised as the powerhouse. However, recent economic indicators tell another story.
The German economy shrank by 0.2 percent in the second quarter of 2014 after it demonstrated a 0.7 percent growth in the first three months of the year.
At $1.5 trillion, Germany accounts for nearly 30 percent of the gross domestic product of the entire 18-member eurozone.
Consumer confidence also is on the decline as unemployment continues to climb for the second consecutive month.
Later on Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund is expected to cut Germany’s growth forecast for 2014 to 1.5 percent, down from previous estimate of 1.9 percent. Growth in 2015 may be slashed to 1.7 percent, according to Der Spiegel magazine.
READ MORE: http://on.rt.com/zqosnf
